Arizona voters are sending a clear message to the Trump administration. A new poll released by Noble Predictive Insights (NPI) shows President Trump’s net approval rating among registered voters in the Grand Canyon State has slipped to a historic low of -19, with only 39% approving of his job performance and 58% disapproving.
Economic worries and foreign policy dominate concerns
The poll attributes the decline primarily to “cost‑of‑living issues,” including rising inflation, housing costs, and gas prices. NPI CEO Mike Noble said these economic pressures have eroded confidence in the administration’s ability to deliver on its campaign promises of a stronger economy and a restrained foreign‑policy stance.
In addition, the ongoing conflict with Iran is “deeply unpopular with the Arizona electorate,” Noble added. Voters expressed strong disapproval of how the president is handling the situation, suggesting that the administration’s approach to foreign threats is a significant liability in the state.
Comparison with former President Biden
Even at this low point, Trump’s approval still outperforms former President Joe Biden’s net approval among Arizonans, which hit -24 in mid‑2022 and early‑2023. Noble noted, “Up to this point, Trump has proven his support has a higher floor but a lower ceiling than Biden.” He cautioned that continued economic strain and foreign‑policy challenges could further test the administration’s standing.
Impact on down‑ballot races
Noble warned that the president’s waning popularity is creating a “toxic environment” for Republican candidates in Arizona’s down‑ballot contests. The poll shows Democrat Attorney General Kris Mayes leading Senate President Warren Petersen, and Democrat Secretary of State Adrian Fontes ahead of Republican Rep. Alex Kolodin. Meanwhile, Republican State Treasurer Kimberly Yee appears poised to defeat Democrat Teresa Leyba Ruiz for superintendent of public instruction.
Among statewide officeholders, Democrats hold the highest favorability ratings, with U.S. Senators Mark Kelly and Ruben Gallego and Governor Katie Hobbs leading the pack. Republican figures such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Rep. Andy Biggs, and Vice President JD Vance lag behind, with Rubio at a net favorability of just 2%.
Arizona’s outlook remains mixed
Despite the president’s low approval, a slim majority of Arizonans—52%—still believe the state is on the right path, while 48% think otherwise. Noble summed up the partisan divide: “With Democrats in the highest state offices at home and Republicans in control of the government in Washington, it’s no wonder voters can’t agree. Everyone has a little to like and a lot to complain about.”
The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.23%, indicating a fairly reliable snapshot of current sentiment. As the Trump administration navigates economic headwinds and the Iran situation, Arizona’s electorate will continue to watch closely, weighing the president’s promises against everyday realities.
Original reporting: KTBS 3 (Shreveport) — read the source article.
