By OBBM Network Editorial Staff

Derived from an episode of Securing America.

Israeli pollsters may be lying to the world, and the truth could shift the balance of power in the Middle East.

Questionable Polls and the Netanyahu Outlook

Rabbi Pesach Wolicki, representing Israel 365 Action, challenged the credibility of Israeli polling agencies. He noted that while international outlets and platforms such as Polymarket suggest Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is trailing, the lack of published crosstabs makes it impossible to verify those numbers. “In Israel, polling agencies do not publish crosstabs. Not only don’t they publish them, but even if you try to get them, they won’t share them with you,” Wolicki said, describing the practice as “push polling” designed to influence voter sentiment.

Wolicki argued that past polls consistently underestimated Likud’s support and overestimated the left‑wing parties. He predicted that Netanyahu will secure another term, citing coalition mathematics that make a left‑leaning government untenable. “The bottom line is, we’re either headed for Netanyahu forming the exact same coalition he has now with the religious Zionist party led by Smotrich and Otzma Yehudit,” he asserted.

The Unlikelihood of a National Unity Government

When asked whether a national unity government could emerge, Wolicki dismissed the idea as “highly, highly unlikely.” He explained that Israel’s political landscape no longer features a viable left bloc; the left has been “destroyed by the failures of their own policies.” Moreover, Defense Minister Gadi Eisenkot’s campaign is centered on removing Netanyahu, making any cross‑spectrum coalition politically impossible.

Frank Gaffney, host of Securing America, reinforced this assessment, noting that attempts to force a unity government would alienate Netanyahu’s base and undermine his strategic agenda, especially in relation to the United States.

Settler Violence Claims and Data Scrutiny

The conversation shifted to the contentious topic of alleged settler violence in Judea and Samaria. Wolicki cited research by the Israeli NGO Rigavim, which examined 8,332 incidents logged by the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA). After filtering, only about 800 incidents remained over an eight‑year span, and many of the reported “settler attacks” were actually self‑defense actions by Israelis.

He illustrated the point with a specific case: “A group of Israeli hikers was attacked by dozens of Palestinians throwing rocks. One of these Palestinians grabbed a gun from a security guard, threatened to shoot the kids, and was killed in self‑defense. That was listed as settler violence.” Wolicki emphasized that such misclassifications create a false narrative of a coordinated campaign of settler aggression, which he argued is “far more dangerous to walk around in downtown Cleveland or Chicago than it is anywhere in Judea and Samaria.”

U.S. Policy Implications and Presidential Endorsement

The episode also touched on President Trump’s recent endorsement of Netanyahu, a move that signals continued U.S. backing for Israel’s right‑wing government. Kenneth Abramowitz, a frequent guest on the program, highlighted that the President’s messaging is crafted for multiple audiences: reassuring domestic supporters that the war will end favorably while warning adversaries that “they’re about to be blown up unless they negotiate seriously.”

Both Abramowitz and Gaffney agreed that the administration’s stance on Iran remains firm, with regime change framed as essential to U.S. security. The consensus was clear: the Trump administration will continue to support a strong Israeli government, viewing Netanyahu as a reliable partner in countering Iranian influence.

What This Means for American Audiences

For viewers in the United States, the key takeaway is that the narrative coming out of Israel may be skewed by unreliable polling and mischaracterized violence reports. Understanding the true political dynamics helps explain why President Trump’s endorsement matters and why a potential shift in Israeli leadership could alter U.S. strategic calculations in the region.

As the Israeli election approaches, keeping a critical eye on data sources and recognizing the broader geopolitical stakes will be essential for policymakers and citizens alike.

The full episode of Securing America is available on OBBM Network TV.