South Florida residents are being advised to remain vigilant as the 2026 hurricane season approaches, despite forecasts predicting a below-normal number of storms. Experts from NOAA and Colorado State University have indicated a strong El Niño effect, which typically results in fewer hurricanes. However, history shows that even one powerful storm can cause significant damage.

El Niño’s Impact on Hurricane Activity

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has issued an El Niño Watch, noting that equatorial sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean are rising. This phenomenon is expected to create stronger westerly wind shear across the Atlantic, which can inhibit hurricane formation. Despite this, there are periods when the wind shear weakens, allowing for the possibility of stronger storms.

Historically, strong El Niño years have not always spared Florida from severe hurricanes. For instance, Hurricane Betsy in 1965 and Hurricane Camille in 1969 both occurred during El Niño years and caused significant destruction. More recently, Hurricane Idalia in 2023, another El Niño year, impacted the Florida Panhandle.

Preparing for the Unexpected

While the forecast for the 2026 season is encouraging, with only five hurricanes expected, residents are reminded of the potential for rapid storm intensification. Last year, four out of five hurricanes reached Category 4 or 5 intensity, underscoring the importance of being prepared.

Floridians are encouraged to assess their homes’ vulnerabilities to wind and water damage and to have a plan in place. This preparation is crucial, as even a single storm can have devastating effects on communities.

As the season progresses, staying informed and ready is essential. Local meteorologists, including John Morales from NBC6, will continue to provide updates and guidance throughout the hurricane season.

Original reporting: NBC6 Miami — read the source article.