A tropical wave is currently tracking across the Yucatan Peninsula and will soon enter the Bay of Campeche. The system is made up of the remnants of Tropical Storm Cristina, which originally formed in the Pacific Ocean. Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center have given the wave a 10% chance of developing into a tropical system over the next seven days.

Atlantic Hurricane Season

While the middle of June is typically when the Atlantic receives its first named storm, recent seasons have frequently started weeks before the average June 20 start date. It remains unclear exactly how active the rest of this year will become, though historical analog years with similar characteristics produced fewer named storms and hurricanes than an average season.

The Climate Prediction Center confirmed that El Niño conditions are officially present in the Pacific. Historically, El Niño leads to fewer named storms during the Atlantic hurricane seasons because it increases upper-level winds across parts of the Atlantic Basin. These hostile winds can disrupt tropical systems and prevent them from forming.

Any potential impacts from this system are expected to remain well away from Florida. However, experts warn that it only takes one storm to make an impactful season. Quiet stretches of weather serve as an ideal time for families to review their hurricane plans and restock emergency supplies.

Original reporting: Tampa Bay Florida News (HLL/CB) — read the source article.