A recent national poll conducted by Noble Predictive Insights found that 60% of registered voters believe the country is headed in the wrong direction, up from 53% in March. Only 28% of voters think the country is on the right track, down from 36% in March.

Poll Results

The poll, which surveyed 2,585 registered voters, including 915 Republicans, 1,013 Democrats, and 297 true independents, also found that among true independents, nearly seven in 10 say the country is on the wrong track. The generic congressional ballot has shifted from a one-point Democratic advantage in March to a six-point Democratic advantage in June.

According to Alan Abramowitz, a political scientist at Emory University, the generic ballot margin is significant, and if Democrats lead by six to eight points, the House of Representatives is almost certainly going to flip. Republicans currently hold a 218-215 majority in the House, with one vacant seat.

Economic Concerns

The shift in voter sentiment comes as inflation and energy costs continue to weigh on American households. Gas prices have dropped to $3.97 per gallon nationally over the past week, but that’s still up more than a dollar a gallon from $2.94 when the U.S. military conflict with Iran began in February. Overall consumer prices have risen 4.2% over the past year, with energy costs up 23.5%.

Mike Noble, founder of Noble Predictive Insights, said voters are feeling the economic pain acutely, and Republicans face a growing problem if the pain points continue or worsen before November. Benjamin Schneer, an associate professor of public policy at Harvard Kennedy School, said the political environment is not favorable for Republicans, and the party in power struggles in midterm years.

Original reporting: KTBS 3 (Shreveport) — read the source article.