In a poll conducted from September 23 to 27, the Green Party of New Zealand achieved its highest ever recorded support at 16%, according to a survey released by 1News Verian on Monday. The rise comes as the two traditional powerhouses, National and Labour, each slipped to 28% support, marking the lowest figures for both parties in recent memory.
Poll Details and Methodology
The poll surveyed 1,004 eligible voters across the country. Of those respondents, 13% either declined to answer or were undecided about their voting intentions. The data reflects a snapshot of public sentiment just weeks before the general election scheduled for November 7.
Implications for Coalition Possibilities
With the Greens now polling at 16%, analysts suggest a left‑leaning coalition could be viable. The poll projects that a coalition comprising Labour, the Greens, Te Pāti Māori and the Opportunity Party could command 65 seats in Parliament, surpassing the 59 seats projected for a centre‑right bloc of National, ACT and NZ First.
Historical Context for Major Parties
Labour’s 28% support is its lowest level since February 2024, a decline of two points from the August poll. National’s 28% marks its weakest showing since 2021. Both parties have seen a gradual erosion of support as voters explore alternatives.
Electoral System and Voter Choices
New Zealand’s mixed‑member proportional (MMP) system encourages coalition governments, meaning no single party is likely to secure an outright majority. The close margins highlighted by the poll underscore the importance of smaller parties in shaping the post‑election landscape.
Comments from Party Leaders
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon, leader of the National Party, previously indicated that his party would be reluctant to partner with the Opportunity Party due to disagreements over tax policy. No new statements were released in response to the latest poll figures.
What Voters Can Expect
As the election draws nearer, the electorate will continue to weigh policy proposals, leadership qualities, and the potential for stable governance. Voters are encouraged to stay informed about each party’s platform and to participate in the democratic process on November 7.
Looking Ahead
Future polls will likely track whether the Greens can maintain or improve upon their record support and whether Labour and National can halt their declines. The evolving dynamics suggest a competitive race where coalition negotiations will play a pivotal role in determining New Zealand’s next government.
Original reporting: Appleton, WI News Feed (HLL/CB) — read the source article.
