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China to Buy $17 Billion Annually in U.S. Agricultural Products Through 2028

The White House says China has agreed to boost purchases of U.S. farm goods after President Donald Trump’s Beijing summit, promising roughly $17 billion a year in agricultural buys for 2026 through 2028 and restoring market access for beef and some poultry. The move touches core American interests from soybean growers to large processors like Tyson and Cargill and follows a period in which China sharply cut U.S. agricultural imports. Key officials and business figures including Xi Jinping and Brian Sikes were part of the broader talks that also created new bilateral trade and investment boards. This article looks at what was agreed, what remains vague, and what it means for farmers, processors, and national economic strategy.

The headline from Washington is clear: China will buy more U.S. farm products at an annualized target of $17 billion for the next three years, and it will restore market access for U.S. beef and resume imports of poultry from states the USDA determines are bird-flu free. That promise builds on soybean commitments made after the October truce and comes after a brutal two-year drop in exports. For American farmers who watched a major customer disappear during the tariff war, any reopening of Chinese demand is a lifeline.

U.S. negotiators got specific on some sticking points while leaving others vague. China’s Ministry of Commerce said the two sides would “resolve or make substantial progress toward resolving certain non-tariff barriers and market access issues” on agricultural goods. In parallel, the White House said the U.S. would “actively work” to address China’s concerns about detention of dairy products, seafood, potted bonsai, and recognition of Shandong province as bird-flu free.

The Chinese side, the ministry added, will “likewise actively work” to handle U.S. objections about registration of beef processing facilities and the export of poultry meat from certain states to China. Those promises matter because licenses for hundreds of U.S. beef plants had expired, plunging imports from more than $2 billion in 2022 to under $500 million in 2025. Restoring those plant registrations would reopen business for companies like Tyson and Cargill and bring lost export revenue back to rural communities.

Officials also flagged the idea of reciprocal tariff reductions on “a specific range of products,” but neither side detailed which goods would be on the list. The new framework creates two bodies — a Board of Trade for non-sensitive goods and a Board of Investments to discuss capital flows — intended to keep commercial conversations ongoing. The Board of Trade will allow the two governments to manage trade of “non-sensitive goods,” which could be useful, but implementation and enforcement will determine whether these boards produce real market access or just more meetings.

China’s buying patterns shifted sharply during the dispute, as shown by USDA numbers that put U.S. agricultural exports to China at about $38 billion in 2022 and only $8 billion in 2025. Soybeans were the hardest hit, dropping from nearly $18 billion in 2022 to roughly $3 billion in 2025, and exporters saw years of volatility. That decline prompted American industry and farm groups to push for predictable contracts and measurable commitments in any deal with Beijing.

Beef and poultry figures paint the same picture: U.S. beef exports to China collapsed after plant licenses lapsed, and poultry exports fell from over $1 billion in 2022 to $286 million in 2025. The White House says hundreds of U.S. beef plants, including those run by Tyson and Cargill, will be able to export again, but how quickly and how much they will sell remains to be seen. China has diversified its suppliers — turning to Brazil, Argentina, and others — so recapturing market share will take time and competitive pricing.

Soybeans remain the strategic prize. They feed livestock and support biofuels in China, and historically they accounted for about half of U.S. ag exports to the country. USDA data showed the U.S. exported 10.9 million metric tons of soybeans to China as of May 7, putting China on track to meet prior commitments by the August 31 marketing-year deadline but still well short of the 25 to 30 million metric tons bought in earlier years.

Industry voices pushed hard in private and at the summit. Brian Sikes, CEO of Cargill, joined the U.S. delegation, and farm groups urged the administration to prioritize soybeans. Scott Metzger, president of the American Soybean Association, said the association would like to see “additional soybean purchases this marketing year, as well as continued progress toward fulfilling future purchase commitments.” He added that “Greater certainty and consistency in the marketplace help provide farmers with the confidence they need as they make decisions for the year ahead.”

There was no immediate public confirmation out of Beijing that matched the White House’s language, and some details remain thin. Still, this is a political win for a Republican administration that launched a trade campaign to press China, and now it must deliver durable access for producers and processors. Kevin Vineys also contributed to reporting on this evolving story.

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